
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.084         & -0.004         & -0.098$^{***}$         & -0.032         &                & 0.151$^{**}$   & 0.027\\   
                                                              & (0.052)        & (0.017)        & (0.024)                & (0.019)        &                & (0.048)        & (0.027)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.060         & -0.032         & -0.068$^{***}$         & 0.026          &                & 0.028          & 0.062$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)        & (0.023)        & (0.018)                & (0.013)        &                & (0.041)        & (0.026)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.026          & -0.003         & -0.084$^{***}$         & 0.085$^{**}$   &                & -0.055         & 0.029\\   
                                                              & (0.029)        & (0.034)        & (0.017)                & (0.026)        &                & (0.037)        & (0.020)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd            & fdp            & gruene                 & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)                    & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.085$^{*}$    & -0.036         & -0.018                 & -0.066$^{**}$  & 0.173$^{***}$  & -0.145$^{***}$ & 0.167$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.039)        & (0.021)        & (0.015)                & (0.021)        & (0.047)        & (0.044)        & (0.042)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.055          & 0.057$^{*}$    & -0.271$^{***}$         & -0.038$^{*}$   & 0.184$^{***}$  & -0.129         & 0.190$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.050)        & (0.025)        & (0.044)                & (0.016)        & (0.038)        & (0.073)        & (0.034)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.004          & 0.0005         & 0.003$^{**}$           & 0.002          &                & -0.006$^{**}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0006)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003          & 0.0007         & 0.003$^{***}$          & 0.0002         &                & -0.004         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0008)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & 0.0001         & 0.0003         & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.0002        &                & -0.0006        & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.001)        & (0.0008)               & (0.001)        &                & (0.002)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002         & 0.0003         & -0.001$^{*}$           & -0.0003        & 0.003          & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0009)       & (0.0006)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.001         & 0.0006         & -0.0001                & -0.0004        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.002)                & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.001$^{**}$  & 0.003$^{***}$          & -0.005$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0004)       & (0.0009)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.003$^{***}$ & 0.001                  & -0.002$^{***}$ &                & 0.004$^{**}$   & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0006)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0009)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$   & -0.006$^{***}$ & 0.002$^{**}$           & 0.001$^{*}$    &                & 0.007$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)       & (0.001)        & (0.0005)               & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$ & -0.0001        & -0.001                 & 0.002$^{**}$   & 0.006$^{**}$   & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.003\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.0007)               & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.0010)       & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.014$^{***}$ & -0.0006        & 0.009$^{***}$          & -0.002$^{**}$  & 0.003          & 0.011$^{***}$  & -0.0008\\   
                                                              & (0.001)        & (0.0005)       & (0.001)                & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.0010)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005          & 0.002          & -0.003                 & -0.004$^{*}$   & 0.0007         & -0.001         & $-3.35\times 10^{-5}$\\    
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0006        & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{***}$          & 0.003$^{***}$  & -0.012$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.003$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0007)       & (0.002)                & (0.0009)       & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.010$^{**}$   & -0.002         & -0.002                 & -0.0009        & 0.004          & -0.011$^{**}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.050$^{**}$   & -0.007         & 0.043$^{***}$          & 0.033$^{***}$  & -0.133$^{***}$ & -0.043$^{**}$  & -0.054$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.007)        & (0.039)        & (0.015)        & (0.011)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.010          & 0.004          & -0.018                 & -0.017$^{*}$   & -0.016         & 0.027          & -0.005\\   
                                                              & (0.016)        & (0.006)        & (0.011)                & (0.009)        & (0.021)        & (0.018)        & (0.013)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.002         & -0.0009        & $-9.69\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0004        & 0.002          & 0.005$^{*}$    & 0.0003\\   
                                                              & (0.002)        & (0.0008)       & (0.001)                & (0.0009)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share foreigners                                        & 0.006          & 0.0008         & -0.005$^{*}$           & -0.002         & 0.023$^{***}$  & -0.011$^{**}$  & 0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.001)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.006          & 0.002          & 0.005$^{**}$           & 0.001          & -0.017$^{**}$  & -0.008$^{*}$   & -0.007$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.004)        & (0.001)        & (0.002)                & (0.002)        & (0.006)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes            & Yes            & Yes                    & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Observations                                            & 1,918          & 1,918          & 1,918                  & 1,918          & 960            & 1,918          & 1,918\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990          & 0.980          & 0.976                  & 0.965          & 0.964          & 0.987          & 0.978\\  
      Within R$^2$                                            & 0.309          & 0.148          & 0.468                  & 0.282          & 0.396          & 0.145          & 0.344\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}


